What happens if the United States attempts to takeover Greenland by force? Will NATO invoke Article 5 against the United States? As the American president threatens the sovereignty of other nations, will there be pushback and what would it look like?
Since the American invasion of Venezuela, the ease of which is highly questionable, these are questions that many nations from Mexico, Columbia, Greenland, Cuba to Canada are now asking.
While Nations such as Argentina, El Salvador and Ecuador, have hopped onto the bandwagon. These nations have rare earth minerals. They are mistaken if they believe the US would not go after them for their resources.
In response to a potential attack on Greenland, Danish Prime Minister Metternich Frederiksen said “I will also make it clear that if the US chooses to attack another NATO country militarily, then everything stops, including NATO and thus the security that has been established since the end of the Second World War. “
Historically the acquisition of Greenland has been a topic of discussion since the 19th century. Past Secretaries of State William Seward and James Byrnes advocated the acquisition of Greenland. While it is geographically part of North America it is part of the Kingdom of Denmark. The idea of using military force, however, is a new idea forged by the Trump administration. The 1951 Greenland agreement allows the US to build and maintain military bases. Danish leadership has been vocal about continuing to use Greenland as a military outpost. While the administration claims it is needed for national security, it is more likely because of its natural resources which includes gold, uranium and significant amounts of oil and gas.
The resurrection of a robust Monroe Doctrine, which was declared over by the Obama administration, was originally meant to dissuade Europe from interfering in the backyard of America, has now been expanded to include Europe itself. As a result, it has caused a lot of nations to rethink their defensive capabilities.
The United States military is the most powerful armed force in the world. Nonetheless, it is also true that it has rarely won a war without allies. It would be hard to imagine that nations would align themselves with the US if it attacked Mexico, Greenland or Canada.
The administration out of ignorance or callousness is oblivious to allies perceiving the United States as a threat to their democracy. Significant populations of nations including Mexico, Canada, Indonesia, South Africa, Kenya and Spain now consider the United States as a threat. While Canada is a non-nuclear state, it is now engaging in discussions about building nuclear weapons.
Nations which now share intelligence with America, whether through Five Eyes or other coalitions, will most likely become more judicious about the information they share.
From a geopolitical perspective, nations will seek stronger ties with nations such as China in addition to creating other regional alliances. French President Emmanuel Macron, who has long voiced a desire for a European Union becoming independent of the US, and Australin Prime Minster Anthony Albanese have both visited China. While their visits don’t necessarily signal a change of alignment, it does give rise to the idea that nations will seek options as the United States is becoming more belligerent and less reliable.
Europe in particular will be faced with a stark choice. Will they stand idly by as America threatens to take over an autonomous nation or will they take a bold stand.
While the hubris of Trump is admired by some, the United States aided and abetted by Marco Rubio and an unhinged Stephen Miller are making the US less safe.
The president is now a lame duck who doesn’t have to be concerned about reelection. Nonetheless, 2026 is shaping up to have more implications than originally thought. A victory by the democrats will make this new foreign policy a lot more difficult to implement. It will provide a system of accountability that republicans have been reluctant to utilize to this point.
There is great apprehension amongst the nations of the world as the president shows his imperialistic characteristics. Some such as author Terrence Petty believes the nation is heading towards the German idea of Gleichschaltung which means “bringing into line.” One of its aspects was the purging of civil servants who were insufficiently loyal to the Fuhrer.
The next nine months will be critical for the US and the western hemisphere. If the present administration acts on its threat, it will indeed be the end of the present world order which while imperfect has managed to avoid world wars for over seventy years.
The only time NATO invoked Article 5, was on September 11th, 2001, on behalf of the United States. How ironic would it be that the second time would be against the nation that most of the world rallied around.